The 2nd biennial EU Conference on modelling for policy support, organised by the European Commission Competence Centre on Modelling (CC-MOD), took place during the week of 22 – 26 November 2021.
Programme Recordings
The Conference, fully online, gathered more than 900 scientists and policymakers from EU, national and international organisations as well as academia and the private sector. Registration closed on 19 November 2021 (7 November for workshops and training).
NEW : The recordings, the book of abstracts and the presentations are now available ! Check the ‘recordings’ and ‘programme’ sections below.
Objectives
Tackling policy challenges requires making political choices, which must be transparently informed by evidence.
Models are extensively used to analyse the environmental, economic, and social impacts of policies. The European Commission makes use of models throughout the policy cycle and is committed to sound and transparent use of evidence in the framework of the Better Regulation policy and Open science principles.
The Conference brings together researchers and policymakers from European and international institutions, Member States, universities, research institutes and consultancies to identify common challenges and solutions when using models to support policymaking across all policy domains.
In 2019 the first edition of the Conference highlighted the need and added value for model developers and users to share knowledge and best practices. The programme of the 2021 Conference has been further enriched to provide additional opportunities of exchange between modellers and policymakers.
Keynote Speakers
The Keynote speeches will address the use of models to tackle high challenges, starting from specific experiences to then discuss lessons and best practices of relevance to the whole modelling community.
Modelling for the emergency: the Earth4All experience
Sandrine Dixson-Declève
Co-President, The Club of Rome; European Commission Advisor: Expert Group on the Economic & Societal Impact of Research and Innovation (DGR&I Think Tank ESIR, Chair), Technical Expert Group (TEG) on Sustainable Finance & Sustainable Finance Platform; Co-Chair UN Food System Summit- Resilience, Action Track 5; Advisory Boards: BMW, ClimateKIC, Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP), UCB, UCL-Bartlett School for Environment, Energy & Resources (Chair); Ambassador: Energy Transition Commission (ETC) & WeAll (Well Being Alliance); Senior Associate: Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (CISL) & E3G
Sandrine Dixson-Decleve is currently the Co-President of the Club of Rome and divides her time between lecturing, facilitating change in business and policy models and advisory work. She holds several advisory positions for the European Commission: Chair, Expert Group on Economic and Societal Impact of Research & Innovation (ESIR); Assembly Member, Climate Mitigation & Adaptation Mission (DGR&I); TEG Sustainable Finance Taxonomy and Sustainable Finance Platform (DGFISMA); The United Nations: Co-Chair, Food Summit Action Track 5 Resilience; and for companies/organisations/institutes such as BMW, EDP, UCB, Climate KIC, UCL-Bartlett School of Environment and the IEEP. Sandrine is also a Senior Associate and faculty member of the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (CISL) and a Senior Associate for E3G, Ambassador, for the Energy Transition Commission (ETC) and WEALL. In 2017 Sandrine co-founded the Women Enablers Change Agent Network (WECAN). Sandrine was recognised by GreenBiz as one of the 30 most influential women across the globe driving change in the low carbon economy and promoting green business. She has spent her career bringing together business leaders, policy makers, academia and NGO’s. Until recently, Sandrine was Chief Partnership Officer for UN Agency Sustainable Energy for All and prior to that the Director of the Prince of Wales’s Corporate Leaders Group and the EU office of the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (2009-2016). During that period she was also appointed Executive Director of the Green Growth Platform bringing together EU Ministers and CEO’s.

Discussant: Tom Van Ierland
Head of Unit - Strategy and Economic Assessment, European Commission, DG Climate Action
Tom van Ierland joined the Commission in 2006. Within DG Climate Action he is head of unit C1, dealing with Strategy and Economic Assessment. This unit is closely involved in the development of the overall climate change policy framework both at the EU and international level and the economic modeling underpinning it. He started his career at the Belgian's Federal Planning Bureau in 1999 where he focused on emission trading. He was a member of cabinet of the Belgian Federal Minister for the Environment. He worked 2 years as consultant for Price Waterhouse Coopers. He has a broad experience both in the international negotiations on climate change as well as in the development of EU Climate Change policies. He holds academic degrees in Applied Economics, Environmental Economics and Computer Sciences from the University of Leuven and University College London.

Economic models and the COVID-19 pandemic: lessons for the future
Loriana Pelizzon
Head of the department "Financial Markets" and coordinator of Gender Equality at the Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE; Professor of Economics at the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice and CEPR research Fellow
Loriana is the head of the Financial Market department and coordinator of Gender Equality at the Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE and Full Professor at Goethe University Frankfurt, Chair of Law and Finance. She is also a Research Affiliate at MIT Sloan and Professor (tempo definito) of Economics at Ca’ Foscari University of Venice. She graduated from the London Business School with a doctorate in Finance. Her research interests are on risk measurement and management, hedge funds, market microstructure, financial institutions, systemic risk, sovereign risk and financial crisis. She was one of the coordinators of the European Finance Association (EFA) Doctoral Tutorial, member of the EFA Executive Committee and member of the BSI GAMMA Foundation Board. She has been involved in NBER and FDIC projects as well as EU projects (Marie Curie, FP7 and H2020), Europlace and Inquire Europe, EIEF, Bank of France projects, MIUR, DFG, and VolkswagenStiftung: Europe and Global Challenges. She was a member of the EIOPA’s Insurance and Reinsurance Stakeholder Group and is currently Co-Vice President of the Advisory Scientific Committee of the European Systemic Risk Board, member of the EU independent expert advice team in the field of financial markets and institutions and external Expert for the EU commission on digital currency and blockchain technology. She is also a CERP Research Fellow.

Discussant: Helen Johnson
Mathematical modeller at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden.
She uses models to illustrate how infectious disease may spread and to develop scenarios for planning interventions. She works at the interface of science and policy and has a particular interest in quantifying and communicating uncertainty, and in training and supporting infectious disease modellers in EU/EEA Member States and beyond.

Modelling tools for policy support in (real) time of crisis
Alain de Serres
Deputy Director, Policy Studies Branch, OECD Economics Department
Alain de Serres is currently Deputy Director in the Policy Studies Branch of the OECD Economics Department. He has recently worked on economic and financial resilience and, prior to that, on the policy determinants of investment in knowledge-based capital, as well as on green growth policies and the economics of climate change mitigation. Part of his work has been published in journals such as Economic Policy, European Economic Review, Environmental and Resource Economics and the Journal of Economic Geography. Alain is Canadian and, before joining the OECD, has worked for many years at the Bank of Canada and the Ministry of Finance in Ottawa.

Discussant: Román Arjona
Chief Economist, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs, European Commission.
Román Arjona is Chief Economist at the Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs of the European Commission. He was Chief Economist and Head of Strategy and Foresight at the Directorate-General for Research & Innovation, and Vice-Chair of the OECD’s Committee for Science and Technology Policy (CSTP). He previously served in the Spanish government as Secretary-General for Science, Technology and Innovation, and before joining the Commission he was adviser to the Spanish State Secretary and the Spanish Minister for Science and Technology. Mr Arjona worked for the European Investment Bank and the International Monetary Fund as well as for the OECD as an economist. He is a former member of the World Economic Forum’s High-Level Advisory Group of the Europe Inclusive Growth and Competitiveness Lab, and of its Global Agenda Council on New Growth Models. Román graduated in Economics at the University of Valencia with a special distinction, and holds a Masters’ degree in European Economic Studies from the College of Europe in Bruges and a PhD in Economics from the European University Institute in Florence.

Recordings
Recordings will be available until November 2023
- recording 22 november
- recording 23 november
- recording 24 november
- recording 25 november (morning)
- recording 25 november (afternoon)
- recording 26 november
Programme
Programme at a glance (pdf) Book of abstract (pdf)
Workshops and training : main messages (pdf)
Note : CET time
22 November | |
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09:30 – 10:50 | Opening Welcome : Paul Smits, Head of Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Opening : Stephen Quest, Director-General, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Chair : Antonio Soria, Head of Unit - Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Keynote speaker: Sandrine Dixson-Declève, Co-President, The Club of Rome and European Commission Advisor Discussant : Tom Van Ierland, Head of Unit - Strategy and Economic Assessment, DG Climate Action, European Commission |
10:50 – 11:00 | Coffee break |
11:00 – 12:45 | Session 1 : Ensuring model quality Chair: Francesco Ferioli, DG Energy, European Commission Increasing model transparency, quality and coherence by deploying tested modules The Need for a Systematic and Iterated Comparison of Different Policy Models Algorithmic bias in machine learning models: detection and avoidance in policy applications Policy analysis of the transformation of the EU’s agricultural sector: A review of model capabilities and an outlook for future research Advanced climate predictions in the polar regions: Key results from the APPLICATE project Towards an integrated perspective: improving the links between the energy system and economy-wide models |
12:45 – 13:30 | Lunch break |
13:30 – 14:50 | Session 2 : Transparency of models and their use Chair: Jan in 't Veld, DG Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission All for one and one for all – Considerations about holistic challenges of sustainability analysis Global land-use impacts of EU’s future bioeconomy: An econometric input-output approach The International Soil Modelling Consortium – Bridging soil modelling to policy and society The Euro Area's pandemic recession: A DSGE-based interpretation Beyond the results of models: additional purposes for modelling in the policy process |
14:50 – 16:20 | Contributed session 1: Co-design of modelling-based services for climate change adaptation related policy support under the EU DestinE Initiative Destination Earth (DestinE) is a major EU initiative to allow policymakers to directly gauge how environmental challenges, e.g. climate change, will impact society and how society could react to effectively increase resilience. It is not only about monitoring/projection of pressures/impacts, but also about empowering users to actively develop adaptation measures/indicators based on open models/data. However, even best modelling is worthless if users are not empowered to co-design with developers. The Session focuses on presenting main policy user expectations at global/EU/MS/local levels on DestinE, experiences in co-design and initial ideas by the key DestinE developers on possibilities/capacities needed for effective co-design. |
16:20 – 16:30 | Coffee break |
16:30 – 18:00 | Workshop 1: Leveraging multidisciplinary tools and approaches for achieving the SDGs Contribute to broadening the perspectives available for policy makers in finding solutions for achieving the SDGs. JRC carried out a mapping of its own models against SDGs. The aim of this workshop is to expand this analysis. Participants will interactively develop a framework for mapping tools and approaches for SDG analysis, starting from models up to a broad disciplinary background. Welcome and moderation : Introduction : Setting the scene: Key messages |
23 November | |
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09:30 – 10:50 | Welcome Welcome : Giulia Listorti, Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Introduction to the activities of the Competence Centre on Modelling: Paul Smits, Head of the Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Chair : Francesca Campolongo, Head of Unit - Finance and Economy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Keynote speaker: Loriana Pelizzon, Head of the department "Financial Markets" and coordinator of Gender Equality at the Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE; Professor of Economics at the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice and CEPR research Fellow Discussant: Helen Johnson, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden |
10:50 – 11:00 | Coffee break |
11:00 – 12:45 | Session 3 : Scenarios and data Chair: Eckehard Rosenbaum, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Modelling markets of bio-based chemical products with BioMAT Modelling food waste and loss in a computable general equilibrium framework Combining ecosystem and biodiversity models for air pollution impact assessment Transdisciplinary modelling for the identification of sustainable grassland management strategies under climate change Socio-economic impacts of ambitious GHG reduction targets: Combining input-output data with energy technology representation Long-term economic impacts of coastal floods in Europe |
12:45 – 13:30 | Lunch break |
13:30 - 14:50 | Training 1: Social multi-criteria evaluation (SMCE) for ex-ante impact assessments SMCE is a methodology that allows comparing policy options by integrating a plurality of technical aspects and social views in a coherent and transparent manner. In this training, you will get an introduction to the methodology, supporting tools, and its application in impact assessments. With Giuseppe Munda, Nicole Ostlaender, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
14:50 - 16:20 | Workshop 2: We need to talk about models How can we interrogate the quality of data, and the reliability and transparency of models used for policy support? Join a discussion between scientists, policymakers and citizens about overcoming the challenges of communicating and understanding the models used for policy. The workshop will discuss the first draft of ‘The questions you need to ask when confronted with model-based evidence’, a set of structured questions to enable policymakers and the wider public to question model use for policy, and help researchers to explain evidence and keep it accessible and accountable. The event is jointly organized by the Competence Centre on Modelling (CC-MOD) and Sense about Science EU as part of the launch of the EU Commission modelling inventory MIDAS. With the participation of: Salvador Barrios, Head of Unit - Fiscal Policy Analysis, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Leen Hordijk, Special Adviser, Competence Centre on Modelling, European Commission David Mair, Head of Unit Knowledge for Policy: Concepts and Methods, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Alexia Maniaki-Griva, Head of Unit, Ex-Ante Impact Assessment Unit, Directorate-General for Parliamentary Research Services, European Parliament Moderation: Tracey Brown, Director, Sense About Science EU Paul Smits, Head of Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
16:20 – 16:30 | Coffee break |
16:30 – 18:00 | Workshop 3: Strategic Foresight and quantification link for better future-oriented policymaking The workshop aims at sharing experience with combining exploratory qualitative and quantitative strategic foresight approaches in policymaking, understand its value for policymakers and the need for improvement in the approaches and in the science for policy link. Opening remarks: Hermine Mitter, Senior Scientist, Universität für Bodenkultur (BOKU) Wien Discussants: Florence Buchholzer, Adviser - Foresight and Impact Assessment, DG Agriculture and Rural Development, European Commission Cornelia Daheim, Head, Future Impacts Consulting Robert M'Barek, Head of Sector Bioeconomy, Economics of Agriculture Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Vicky Pollard, Deputy Head of Unit - Strategy and Economic Assessment, DG Climate Action, European Commission Fabiana Scapolo, Deputy Head of Unit - Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Moderation: Eckhard Stoermer and Tommi Asikainen, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
24 November | |
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09:30 – 10:50 | Keynote 3: Modelling tools for policy support in (real) time of crisis Welcome : Giulia Listorti, Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Chair: Luisa Marelli, Deputy Head of Unit - Bio-Economy Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Keynote speaker: Alain de Serres, Deputy Director, Policy Studies Branch, OECD Economics Department Discussant: Román Arjona, Chief Economist, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs, European Commission. |
10:50 – 11:00 | Coffee break |
11:00 – 12:45 | Session 4 : Modelling complex systems for policy Chair : Maria Cristina Mohora, DG for Mobility and Transport, European Commission Effects of the Border Tax Adjustment in the EU until 2030 Quantifying Spillovers of Next Generation EU Investment Agent-based modeling for ex-ante policy evaluation: The establishment of Renewable Energy Communities Co-dynamics of climate policy stringency and public support Digital Twins for Cities and Regions: Global Challenges, Regional Initiatives, European Approaches Machine learning for regional crop yield forecasting in Europe |
12:45 – 13:30 | Lunch break |
13:30 – 14:50 | Session 5 : Assessing and communicating uncertainty in model results Chair: Leen Hordijk, Special Adviser, Competence Centre on Modelling, European Commission Net-zero emission targets for major emitting countries consistent with the Paris Agreement Investigating optimal allocation of green recovery funds in the EU Extreme events in the coastal zone – a multidisciplinary approach for better Preparedness Operationalisation of well-being. A Benefit of the Doubt model for Dutch municipalities Biogeochemical model ensembles for policy-support in agriculture |
14:50 - 16:20 | Contributed session 2: Modelling for the Banking Union The EU has come a long way on the path to create a safer financial sector for the EU single market. The regulatory framework set up by the Commission to restore confidence in the financial sector after the events of 2009 helped to create a safer and sounder financial system meant to serve the real economy. Today, the European financial system is far better equipped, stable and integrated than it was before the financial crisis. Within this context, the use of models for policy evaluation has been a powerful tool that contributed to the production of evidence and to the identification of effective policy options for the revision of the regulatory framework. Chair: Francesca Di Girolamo, Joint Research Centre, European Commission SYMBOL: a modelling tool to evaluate banking-related policy options. Modelling the effectiveness and efficiency of crisis management safety nets. Recoupment capacity of the European banking sector to the Single Resolution Fund and the Common Backstop. |
16:20 – 16:30 | Coffee break |
16:30 – 18:00 | Workshop 4: Human models for human policies Models used for policymaking often rely on unrealistic assumptions about human decision-making. This workshop discusses the opportunities and challenges for including behavioural theories in agent-based models applied to policy problems. Opening remarks: Nina Schwarz, Assistant Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning and Geo-Information Management at ITC, University of Twente Discussant: Jesus Barreiro Hurle, Team Leader - Head of Sector Agriculture - Scientific Research, Economics of Agriculture Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Discussion and moderation: Hendrik Bruns, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
25 November | |
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09:30 – 10:50 | Session 6 : Multidisciplinary approaches, integrated assessment and model linkages Chair: Robert M’Barek, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Guiding the mitigation of epidemics with reinforcement learning Bridging Ecosystem Services Accounts to General Equilibrium models: the case of invasive alien species from INCA to GTAP An Integrated Modelling System to evaluate health and environmental impacts from air pollution in Italy An integrated modelling framework to assess carbon emissions and removals in the European Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use sectors The use of an integrated modelling approach (CGE, sectoral) to support developing long-term climate strategies up to 2050 |
10:50 – 11:00 | Coffee break |
11:00 – 12:45 | Session 7 : Using model related evidence for policy: processes and experiences Chair: Thomas Stoerk, DG Climate Action, European Commission Enhancing the DIONE cost model in support of Car and Van CO2 Standards for the Fit for 55 package Fossil fuels subsidy removal and the EU Green Deal policy mix design Innovative models to estimate COVID-19 Impact on International Trade Environmental, economic and distributional implications of gradual energy tax reform in the EU Environmental economic modelling and EU Marine and Water Framework Directives Expanding the frontiers of computational toxicology: a regulatory perspective |
12:45 – 13:30 | Lunch break |
13:30 – 14:50 | Training 2: An introduction to SIML@B: an online EC tool for global sensitivity analysis of models Performing uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of model responses is essential. Several methods and statistical indicators are available to perform global sensitivity analysis. This training will introduce you to the use of SIML@B, a user-friendly online tool developed by the Joint Research Centre to compute sensitivity indices of interest for a given problem. Thierry Mara and Rossana Rosati, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
14:50 – 16:20 | Contributed session 3: Climate change adaptation modelling as a key support tool for evidence-based policies in a time of planetary crisis The session will discuss the role of climate change adaptation modelling as a key tool for decision-makers at a time of accelerating impacts of global warmings. It will discuss the main lessons learnt and modelling challenges based on the experience by two Horizon 2020 funded R&I projects, COACCH and CLARA, and the PESETA IV study performed by European Commission’s Joint Research Center in view of improving the (adaptation) modelling tool-kit. It will also share the experiences from the application of modelling in the preparation of the new EU Adaptation Strategy together with the main findings of the Study on Adaptation Modelling performed by DG CLIMA. Chair: Katarzyna Drabicka, Team Leader - Climate Team on both Mitigation and Adaptation Work Streams, Climate & Planetary Boundaries Unit, DG for Research and Innovation, European Commission Modelling as a support tool for addressing the prerogatives of climate adaptation policy – insights from the preparation of the new EU Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change and from the study on Adaptation modelling. Macroeconomic implications of climate change in the EU: a country and sub national assessment (COACCH project). Climate services for better informed adaptation choices. Case application, performance and outlooks (CLARA project). Climate impacts and adaptation in Europe (JRC PESETA IV project). |
16:20 – 16:30 | Coffee break |
16:30 – 18:00 | Workshop 5: Impact By Design: How to create social science models that effectively address policy needs? Designing models that have an impact on the policymaking process is an old yet difficult problem to solve. This is usually an issue of communication between stakeholders, but what could be effective interaction methods between scientists and policymakers? This workshop aims at presenting experiences on fostering dialogue between policymakers and scientists, especially those involved in the design and application of modelling techniques in social science. The event is organised by the JRC Centre of Advanced Studies Project Computational Social Science for Policy - CSS4P.
Quentin Dupriez, Policy Officer, Strategy and Economic Assessment Unit, DG Climate Action, European Commission Susanne Hoffmann, Statistical Assistant, DG Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission Luca Onorante, Economic Analyst, Finance and Economy Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Professor Massimo Tavoni, Politecnico di Milano and RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment Moderation : Michele Vespe, Scientific Project Officer, Digital Economy Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
26 November | |
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09:30 – 10:50 | Concluding session : Modelling for policy, main messages and the way forward Chair: Veronica Gaffey, Chair of the Regulatory Scrutiny Board Participants to the roundtable Delilah Al Khudhairy, Director - Competences, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Jan Bakkes, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and The Integrated Assessment Society (TIAS) Tracey Brown, Director, Sense About Science EU Beatriz Fernández Nebreda, Senior Assistant - Knowledge Management and Outreach, Open data reuse and innovation, Publications Office of the European Union Wolfgang Hiller, Director - Impact Assessment and European Added Value, Directorate-General for Parliamentary Research Services, European Parliament Loriana Pelizzon, Head of the department "Financial Markets" and coordinator of Gender Equality at the Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE; Professor of Economics at the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice and CEPR research Fellow Paul Smits, Head of Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission |
10:50 – 11:00 | Coffee break |
11:00 – 12:45 | Poster session Chairs: Giulia Listorti and Andrea Toreti, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Integrating diverse model results into decision support for good environmental status and blue growth Facilitating the verification of large scale models Testing as a core element of Quality Management in policy relevant simulation models Taxing income or consumption: macroeconomic and distributional effects for Italy Modelling future scenarios: A vector-based CA model for simulating urban land use change Developing Multi-regional TIMES-Ireland Model to Support Energy Policy Making: Impacts of Monetary Incentives on Market Uptake of Electric Vehicles Communicating the value of occupational safety and health to policy makers: estimation of the costs of work-related injuries and diseases Where does the EU Cohesion Policy produce its impact? Simulations with a Regional Dynamic General Equilibrium Model Machine Learning algorithms and environmental decision support systems: a new approach for air quality decision planning Scenarios for sustainable future in 2050- using system dynamics to enhance foresight for better policy insight E3ME-FTT-GENIE: model description, update and results The Application of SDM in Regional Foresight. Results of the POLIRURAL Project Agricultural policy behavioural, ecological and socio-economic modelling: From case studies to European scale |
12:45 – 13:30 | Lunch break |
13:30 – 14:50 | Session 8 : Combination of qualitative and quantitative methods Chair: Beatriz Velazquez, DG Trade, European Commission Territorial Impact Assessment – modelling evidence for better EU legislation ETF’s Foresight Approach to the Future of Work/Skills in Specific Economic Sectors Modelling stakeholder-perceived system interactions to explore policy opportunities for coastal environment improvement Policy modelling for scoping alternative pathways for sustainable and profitable agriculture in Europe Scenario planning: ISPRA’s first experience with circular economy |
14:50 – 16:20 | Session 9 : Communication and visualisation of model results Chair: Peter Salamon, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Co-producing model literacy for sustainability Land-use modelling exercises using LUISETTA to foster a debate on urbanization pathways Introducing the ReSET (Restarting Economy in Support of Environment, through Technology) Policy Support System Using hydrological model to support regional water policies: Co-creation of Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways for water resources in climate change scenarios for a Mediterranean region (Algarve-Portugal) Informing Ireland’s carbon budgets with the TIMES-Ireland energy system model |
16:20 – 16:30 | Coffee break |
16:30 – 18:00 | Contributed session 4: Highlights from the EU Open Data Days: how open data can support policy-making The EU public sector is one of the most data-intensive sectors, producing vast amounts of data. By sharing this data as open data, companies and citizens can use it to generate value for the society and the economy. Also for the public sector itself, this data is essential to support better policy making. The Publications Office of the EU plays an active role in publishing open data. The first edition of the EU Open Data Days (23 – 25 November 2021) demonstrates the importance of open data as a key asset for digital transformation. European and global experts will share their work and experiences on open data and data visualisation, thus showing how these can bring added value for the EU public sector. This session will highlight the main outcomes from the EU Open Data Days and explain how open data and data visualisation can be used to support policy-making. Chair: Inmaculada Farfán Velasco, Knowledge Management, Open data reuse and innovation, Publications Office of the European Union Presenters Benjamin Wiederkehr. Managing Director of Interactive Things, Switzerland Closing remarks Giulia Listorti, Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission download slides (part 1) |
Workshops and trainings
These interactive and participatory sessions, which complement the scientific programme, offer occasions of exchange of experiences and best practices for modellers and policymakers.
The workshops and trainings provide the opportunity of reflecting on modelling and beyond, with the objective of promoting sound evidence informed policymaking in the context of the EU Better Regulation policy.
Please note: workshops and trainings have a limited number of participants to preserve the interactive character of the sessions. Registration to workshops and trainings is open until 7 November 2021. Attendance will be confirmed ahead of the event.
Workshops and training : main messages (pdf)
Workshops
Workshop 1: Leveraging multidisciplinary tools and approaches for achieving the SDGs
22 November, 16:30-18:00
Contribute to broadening the perspectives available for policy makers in finding solutions for achieving the SDGs. JRC carried out a mapping of its own models against SDGs. The aim of this workshop is to expand this analysis. Participants will interactively develop a framework for mapping tools and approaches for SDG analysis, starting from models up to a broad disciplinary background.
Welcome and moderation :
Luisa Marelli, Deputy Head of Unit - Bio-Economy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Introduction :
Bert Saveyn, Policy Officer, Evaluation & Impact Assessment and Regulatory Scrutiny Board Secretariat, Secretariat-General, European Commission
Jacopo Giuntoli, Bio-Economy Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Setting the scene: Key messages
Prof Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, South African Research Chair (SARChI): Social-Ecological Systems & Resilience; Co-director: Centre for Sustainability Transitions (CST), Stellenbosch University, South Africa; Researcher: Stockholm Resilience Centre (SRC), Stockholm University, Sweden; Co-chair: Future Earth Program on Ecosystem Change and Society (PECS)
Workshop 2 : We need to talk about models
23 November, 14:50-16:20
How can we interrogate the quality of data, and the reliability and transparency of models used for policy support? Join a discussion between scientists, policymakers and citizens about overcoming the challenges of communicating and understanding the models used for policy.
The workshop will discuss the first draft of ‘The questions you need to ask when confronted with model-based evidence’, a set of structured questions to enable policymakers and the wider public to question model use for policy, and help researchers to explain evidence and keep it accessible and accountable.
The event is jointly organized by the Competence Centre on Modelling (CC-MOD) and Sense about Science EU as part of the launch of the EU Commission modelling inventory MIDAS.
With the participation of
Salvador Barrios, Head of Unit - Fiscal Policy Analysis, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Leen Hordijk, Special Adviser, Competence Centre on Modelling, European Commission
David Mair, Head of Unit Knowledge for Policy: Concepts and Methods, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Alexia Maniaki-Griva, Head of Unit, Ex-Ante Impact Assessment Unit, Directorate-General for Parliamentary Research Services, European Parliament
Moderation
Tracey Brown, Director, Sense About Science EU
Paul Smits, Head of Competence Centre on Modelling, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Workshop 3 : Strategic Foresight and quantification link for better future-oriented policymaking
23 November, 16:30-18:00
The workshop aims at sharing experience with combining exploratory qualitative and quantitative strategic foresight approaches in policymaking, understand its value for policymakers and the need for improvement in the approaches and in the science for policy link.
Opening remarks
Hermine Mitter, Senior Scientist, Universität für Bodenkultur (BOKU) Wien
Discussants
Florence Buchholzer, Adviser - Foresight and Impact Assessment, DG Agriculture and Rural Development, European Commission
Cornelia Daheim, Head, Future Impacts Consulting
Robert M'Barek, Head of Sector Bioeconomy, Economics of Agriculture Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Vicky Pollard, Deputy Head of Unit - Strategy and Economic Assessment, DG Climate Action, European Commission
Fabiana Scapolo, Deputy Head of Unit - Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Moderation
Eckhard Stoermer and Tommi Asikainen, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Workshop 4 : Human models for human policies
24 November, 16:30-18:00
Models used for policymaking often rely on unrealistic assumptions about human decision-making. This workshop discusses the opportunities and challenges for including behavioural theories in agent-based models applied to policy problems.
Opening remarks
Nina Schwarz, Assistant Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning and Geo-Information Management at ITC, University of Twente.
Discussion
Jesus Barreiro Hurle, Team Leader - Head of Sector Agriculture - Scientific Research, Economics of Agriculture Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Discussion and moderation
Hendrik Bruns, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Workshop 5 : Impact By Design: How to create social science models that effectively address policy needs?
25 November, 16:30-18:00
Designing models that have an impact on the policymaking process is an old yet difficult problem to solve. This is usually an issue of communication between stakeholders, but what could be effective interaction methods between scientists and policymakers? This workshop aims at presenting experiences on fostering dialogue between policymakers and scientists, especially those involved in the design and application of modelling techniques in social science. The event is organised by the JRC Centre of Advanced Studies Project Computational Social Science for Policy - CSS4P.
With the participation of :
Quentin Dupriez, Policy Officer, Strategy and Economic Assessment Unit, DG Climate Action, European Commission
Susanne Hoffmann, Statistical Assistant, DG Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission
Luca Onorante, Economic Analyst, Finance and Economy Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Professor Massimo Tavoni, Politecnico di Milano and RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment
Moderation :
Michele Vespe, Scientific Project Officer, Digital Economy Unit, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Trainings
Training 1 : Social multi-criteria evaluation (SMCE) for ex-ante impact assessments
23 November, 13:30-14:50
SMCE is a methodology that allows comparing policy options by integrating a plurality of technical aspects and social views in a coherent and transparent manner. In this training, you will get an introduction to the methodology, supporting tools, and its application in impact assessments.
Giuseppe Munda, Nicole Ostlaender, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Training 2 : An introduction to SIML@B: an online EC tool for global sensitivity analysis of models
25 November, 13:30-14:50
Performing uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of model responses is essential. Several methods and statistical indicators are available to perform global sensitivity analysis. This training will introduce you to the use of SIML@B, a user-friendly online tool developed by the Joint Research Centre to compute sensitivity indices of interest for a given problem.
Thierry Mara and Rossana Rosati, Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Policy, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Important dates
30 June 2021 | Extended abstracts submission |
15 September 2021 | Acceptance decision Registration opening |
30 September 2021 | Final submission of revised extended abstracts |
15 October 2021 | Deadline for registration - presenters |
7 November 2021 | Deadline for registration to workshops and training |
19 November 2021 | Deadline for registration - all participants |
Call for abstracts (closed)
Download the template for abstracts
Authors need to submit an extended abstract of maximum 2 pages (1000 words) in English by 30 June 2021.
Abstracts must be sent to EU-CONF-MOD@ec.europa.eu, by indicating the Conference area they refer to (areas 1 to 9, see below; a maximum of two areas can be indicated).
Acceptance will be notified by 15 September 2021. The deadline for the submission of the revised abstracts is 30 September 2021. Presenters need to register by 15 October 2021.
All accepted abstracts will be published in the Conference booklet, which will be made available online ahead of the event.
Contributions should cover model development and model use for policy development, assessment and implementation in the EU and in the Member States. They can refer to all policy areas characterised by frequent use of models in support to policymaking in the EU, such as agriculture, economics, energy, environment, transport and climate, as well as modelling to tackle the COVID-19 crisis. The submission of abstracts related to other policy fields is also possible.
Contributions should aim at sharing best practices to contribute to the quality of modelling for policy support, by addressing common issues and challenges to ensure high quality standards and adherence to the state-of-the-art. They can refer to scientific and practical aspects, and should clearly demonstrate how modelling approaches supported policymaking processes. Abstracts can also refer to processes and policies to improve the uptake and efficiency of the use of models that underpin policymaking. The direct involvement of both scientists and policymakers in the presentation, as well as reference to concrete experiences of collaboration across disciplines, is an asset.
Submissions should refer to one of the following main areas related to models for policy support:
- Transparency of models and their use
- Ensuring model quality
- Scenarios and data
- Assessing and communicating uncertainty in model results
- Multidisciplinary approaches, integrated assessment and model linkages
- Complex systems and multicriteria analysis for policy modelling
- Combination of qualitative and quantitative methods
- Communication and visualisation of model results
- Using model related evidence for policy: processes and experiences
The abstract should clearly indicate questions, methodology and results, as well as the relevance and implications for model development and use in support to policy. In particular, it should be clear how the work contributes to learning for the whole modelling community.
Abstracts will undergo peer review by the Scientific Committee. The evaluation criteria include relevance for policy development, assessment and implementation in the EU and/or in the Member States; relevance of findings for the modelling community at large; involvement of both modellers and policymakers.
Scientific Committee
The role of the Scientific Committee is to review and select oral abstract presentations.
Chairs:
Francesca Campolongo, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
Tom van Ierland, DG Climate Action, European Commission
- Jan Bakkes, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and The Integrated Assessment Society (TIAS)
- Monica Billio, University Ca' Foscari of Venice
- Raja Chakir, INRA-AgroParisTech
- Tom De Groeve, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
- Rob Dellink, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
- Francesca Di Girolamo, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
- Francesco Ferioli, DG Energy, European Commission
- Mario Giampietro, Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB) & Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA)
- Joseph Guillaume, Australian National University and Aalto University
- Lena Höglund-Isaksson, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
- Leen Hordijk, Special Adviser, Competence Centre on Modelling, European Commission
- Leonardo Iania, Université Catholique de Louvain
- Jan in 't Veld, DG Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission
- Helen Johnson, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
- Christian Kirchsteiger, DG for Communications Networks, Content and Technology, European Commission
- Andreas Löschel, Ruhr-Universität Bochum
- Robert M’Barek, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
- Alan Matthews, Trinity College, Dublin
- Maria Cristina Mohora, DG for Mobility and Transport, European Commission
- László Pintér, Central European University (CEU) and International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD)
- Hector Pollitt, Cambridge Econometrics and Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge
- Roberto Savona, Università degli Studi di Brescia
- Antonio Soria Ramirez, Joint Research Centre, European Commission
- Detlef Sprinz, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and University of Potsdam
- Thomas Stoerk, DG Climate Action, European Commission
- Philippe Tulkens, DG for Research and Innovation, European Commission
- Hans van Meijl, Wageningen University and Research
Organising Committee
The Conference is organized by the European Commission Competence Centre on Modelling (CC-MOD).
Contact: EU-CONF-MOD@ec.europa.eu
- Paul Smits, Head of the Competence Centre on Modelling
- Giulia Listorti, contact person
- Thierry Mara
- Giuseppe Munda
- Nicole Ostlaender
- Rossana Rosati
- Eckehard Rosenbaum
Event date | 22 Nov 2021 - 26 Nov 2021 |
Related organisation(s) | JRC - Joint Research Centre |
Knowledge service | Metadata | Modelling |
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