The Conference, organised by the Competence Centre on Modelling of the European Commission, brought together researchers and policy makers from the Commission, European and international institutions and agencies, Member States, Universities, research institutes, and consultancies to discuss common challenges and solutions in the use of models to support policy making.

Contributions addressed all policy areas characterized by frequent use of models in support to policy making in the EU, such as agriculture, economics, energy, environment, transport, climate and risk.

The parallel sessions, organised around cross cutting topics, have been an occasion for dialogue between the various modelling communities and between modellers and policymakers.

Conference materials

• Programme
• Book of abstracts

Recordings

26 November

• Room  0A
• Room  0B
• Room  0C

27 November

• Room  0A
• Room  0B
• Room  0C

Presentations

Plenary session 1 - 26 November

• Use of global models for policy recommendations by M. Wörsdörfer
• Discussant: E. Delarue

Parallel sessions 1 - 26 November 11:30/13:00

Model Transparency and sensitivity analysis - Room 0.A

• The challenge of achieving modelling transparency for policy makers by R. A. Rosen
• It started with a KISS: making complex modelling accessible, transparent and understandable by A. Caivano
• Knowing unknowns: adapting uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for impact assessment and policy-making by W. Becker
• What has global sensitivity analysis ever done for us? A systematic review to inform policymaking through earth system modelling by F. Pianosi

Scenarios, model linkages and data for policy 1 - Room 0.B

• Assessing the costs of EU truck CO by J. Krause
• Energy systems modelling: toolbox development for policy decision support by E. Delarue
• Macroeconomic effects of EU energy efficiency regulations on household dishwashers, washing machines and washer dryers by P. Rocchi
• A food safety impact modelling system by A. Bubico
• The marine modelling framework of the EU Commission. A earth-system model for supporting policy decisions by R. Friedland

Complex system modelling and multi-criteria decision making 1 - Room 0.C

• An accounting framework for the biophysical profiling of the European agricultural system by J. J. Cadillo Benalcazar
• Integrative planning for a sustainable, prosperous future by W. Urantowka
• Methodological reflections on the European Commissions’ 2013 use of CBA for air pollution policy by S. Åström

Parallel sessions 2 - 26 November 14:00/15:30

Model quality and transparency 1 - Room 0.A

• Challenges and opportunities of integrated policy modelling by L. Hordijk
• Modelling for EU Policy Support: Impact Assessments by S. Acs
• From modelling guidelines to model portfolio management by T. Arnold
• Post-hoc evaluation of model outcomes tailored to policy support by H. H. Thulke
• EC Modelling Inventory and Knowledge Management System MIDAS by N. Ostlaender

Integrated assessment modelling - Room 0.B

• Lessons from the use of the GAINS model to inform clean air policies in Europe by M. Amann
• Science for an evolved Common Agricultural Policy – the Scenar 2030 experience by R. M'Barek
• Examples of Europe’s marine ecosystem modelling capability for societal benefit by S. Heymans
• Multi-Objective Local Environmental Simulator (MOLES): model specification,algorithm design and policy applications by I. Tikoudis
• Physiologically based kinetic modelling - a bridge between biological science and public health policy by A. Paini

Qualitative and quantitative modelling - Room 0.C

• Integrating qualitative scenarios with quantitative modelling: lessons learned from recent EC foresight projects by A. Ricci
• Modelling stakeholders knowledge and requirements on soil multifunctionality across EU by F. Bampa

Parallel sessions 3 - 26 November 16:00/17:30

Scenarios, model linkages and data for policy 2 - Room 0.A

• Combining micro and macro simulations to assess the distributional impacts of energy transitions. Evidences from the French national low carbon strategy by E. Ravigné
• Energy security assessment framework to support energy policy decisions by L. Martišauskas
• Decarbonising transports in Portugal up to 2050: possible pathways by H. Tente
• Modelling the macroeconomic and employment Impacts of future mobility disruption Scenarios by J. Krause
• Global trends of methane emissions and their impacts on ozone concentrations by R. Van Dingenen

Integrated modeling: the case of the Food-water-energy-environmental NEXUS management under uncertainty and risks - Room 0.B

• A strategic decision–support system for strategic robust adaptation to climate change and systemic risks in land use systems: Stochastic integrated assessment GLOBIOM model by T. Ermolieva
• An integrated environmental-economic model for robust pollution control under uncertainty by T. Emolieva
• Policy impact on biofuel or electricity production from biomass in Europe by S. Leduc
• Robust food-energy-water-environmental security management: linking distributed sectorial and regional models by Y. Emoliev

Modelling value chains in global trade - Room 0.C

• MAGNET - a team-based modular CGE approach for coherent cross-cutting policy assessments by M. Kuiper
• Modelling fairness in FVCs: developing quantitative indicators by S. Bogason

Poster session 1 - 26 November

• A participatory process to design regional policy for rural development: the case of the Veneto Region by S. Trestini

Plenary session 2 - 27 November

• Assessing social impacts of policies: indicators and methods by K. Jacob

Parallel sessions 4 - 27 November 11:30/13:00

Complex system modelling and multi-criteria decision making 2 - Room 0.A

• Making sustainability models more robust: dealing with the complexity of the metabolic pattern of social-ecological systems by M. Giampietro

Engaging stakeholders and policy makers - Room 0.B

• Complex modelling to achieve carbon neutrality in Portugal by P. Fortes
• The importance of modelling purpose for policy by B. Edmonds

Modelling support for EU policy design: the EU’s Long Term Strategy for climate - Room 0.C

• Developing a global context for regional 1.5°C scenarios by K. Keramidas
• The land use sector as key to offset residual emissions by 2050 by S. Frank
• Socio-economic aspects of EU decarbonisation by B. Saveyn

Parallel sessions 5 - 27 November 14:00/15:30

Model quality and transparency 2 - Room 0.A

• Map or compass? Improving model contribution to long-term climate strategy. Insights from 4 country studies by C. Cassen
• Analysis of current climate and energy policies: are countries on track to meet their NDC targets? by M. den Elzen
• How to make social-environmental modelling more useful to support policy? by M. Will
• Quantitative pest risk assessment – a modelling methodology supporting EU plant health policy by M. Pautasso

Scenarios, model linkages and data for policy 3 - Room 0.B

• Combining graphical and command line user interfaces for economic analysis: the capriR package for processing, visualizing and analysing large sets of simulation results by M. Himics
• Wildfire modelling for adaptation policy options in Europe by A. Krasovskii

Computational and empirical issues in dynamic economy-wide models - Room 0.C

• Using the Global Multi-country model in ECFIN’s forecast exercises by M. Ratto
• Stationary rational bubbles in non-linear macroeconomic policy models by R. Kollmann
• The macroeconomic and sectoral impact of EU competition policy by A. Dierx
• Direct and indirect impacts of European Institute of Innovation and Technology (EIT) investments on regional economic growth by O. Ivanova
• Modelling the labour market and agricultural sector in an integrated CGE framework: an application to the Brexit case by S. Angioloni

Poster session 2 - 27 November

• Assessing the value of regional cooperation in air pollution control by E. De Angelis
• Managing Variations in the European Electricity System with Biomass: Emission Targets and Investment Preferences by M. Lehtveer
• Evaluating economic, health impacts and carbon footprint of air quality policies by E. De Angelis

Conference webpage on the Science Hub