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Knowledge4Policy
Knowledge for policy
Competence Centre on Foresight

We foster a strategic, future-oriented and anticipatory culture in the EU policymaking process.

  • Page | Last updated: 14 Aug 2019
Indicators significant to aggravating resource scarcity
Foresight

 

Global materials extraction by resource type

Global materials extraction by resource type
(© EC JRC Raw materials scoreboard 2018)

Global materials extraction by resource type
Source: EC JRC, Raw materials scoreboard 2018

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Global energy demand 2040 compared to 2016

Global energy demand 2040
BP and others expect global energy demand to keep on rising (© https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-bps-outlook-for-fossil-fuels-could-be-undermined-by-slowing-energy-demand)

Source: Carbonbrief, BP and others expect global energy demand to keep on rising

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Changes in world energy demand 2016-2040

change_in_primary_energy_demand_-_aggravating_resource_scarcity
(© IEA International Energy Agency)

Source: EIA, World Energy Outlook 2017

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World total primary energy demand by energy source, 2000-2040

World total primary energy demand 2000-2040 ​​​​​​
Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2018 (© IEA)

Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2017, p 19

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Non-OECD energy consumption by regions, 1990-2040

resources-energy-regions-aggravating_resources_scarcity
(© EIA)

source: EIA, International energy outlook 2017, pp 15

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OECD renewable primary energy supply by product, 2016

resources-renewables-2016_aggravating_resources_scarcity
(© International Energy Agency)

Source: International Energy Agency, Renewables Information 2017

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Renewable energy sources projections considerably revised upward

ressources-energy-scenarios
(© McKinsey)

Source: McKinsey & Company,  What if the latest wind and solar auction results were the new reality of electricity prices?

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EU Energy Production by Sources

Source: EC JRC Low Carbon Energy Observatory, Projections using the JRC-EU-TIMES energy system model

 

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Demand forecast in the EU for selected Raw Materials for the hybrid and electric vehicles segments

Demand forecast in the EU for selected Raw Materials (including some CRMs) for the hybrid and electric vehicles segments (BEV: battery electric vehicle; PHEV: plug-in hybrid electric vehicle; HEV: hybrid electric vehicles) Source: Report on Raw Materials
Demand forecast in the EU for selected Raw Materials (including some CRMs) for the hybrid and electric vehicles segments (BEV: battery electric vehicle; PHEV: plug-in hybrid electric vehicle; HEV: hybrid electric vehicles) (© EC JRC)

Demand forecast in the EU for selected Raw Materials for the hybrid and electric vehicles segments

Source:  Report on Raw Materials for Battery Applications, Commission Staff Working Document 

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Resource Productivity in the EU Increasing

eurostat_graph_1_resource_productivity
(© EUROSTAT)

Source: Eurostat, Resource productivity up in the EU

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Food security: availability, access, stability, utilisation

fao_world_for_cereals
(© FAO)

Source: FAO, Food security indicators

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How many Earths does it take to support humanity?

infographic_food_print_-_aggravating_resources_scarcity
(© Global Foodprint Network)

Source: Global Footprint Network, Ecological Footprint, Overshoot Day

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Correlation between HDI and Ecological Footprint

ecological_footprint_per_person_-_aggravating_resources_scarcity
(© Frontiers Energy Res.)

Source: Frontiers in Energy Research, Making the Sustainable Development Goals Consistent with Sustainability

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World Ecological Footprint

resources_ecological_footprint_-_global_footprint_network
(© Global Footprint Network)

Source: Global Footprint Network, Reserve/Deficit Trends

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Ecological wealth of nations

map_of_ecological_deficit_and_reserve-global_footprint_network
(© FAO, Crop production)

Source: Global Footprint Network, Ecological deficit/reserve (interactive map)

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