Cybersecurity has evolved into an unconventional warfare on a multidimensional, multilayered, and asymmetric battlespace. For instance, as cyber-weapons and unmanned sensors and vehicles are becoming key military elements, critical...
Foresight
- Never before have technological advances had so great an impact on security; not only increasing the nature and level of threats, but also for the possibility of providing the means to address the threats. | Related Megatrends: Technology
- Warfare will increasingly include cyber-weapons, unmanned remote-controlled warfare, chemical and bio-weapons, militarisation of space, precision strike capability.
| Related Megatrends: Technology; Geopower - While lethal autonomous weapons systems (LAWS) are introducing the third revolution in warfare, increasing precision target and save lives, they could also be misused and are highly dependent of the codes of ethics and algorithms that govern them.
- Quantum cryptography is increasing communication security but adds new challenges to intelligence gathering. | Related Megatrends: Technology
- Artificial intelligence could offer the possibility to timely identify people prone to produce harm (to themselves or others), creating opportunities to intervene long before thoughts turn to action.
| Related Megatrends: Technology - AI, IoT, machine lerning and other emerging information and processing technologies will improve military systems but also augment human capacity and boost weapons capabilities.
- Digitalizing the energy system can help reduce CO2 emissions and costs in the energy sector, but increases the risks of cyber-attacks and other security issues of the energy system.
- The world could face a large-scale bioweapon attack within “the next 10 to 15 years”. | Related Megatrends: Technology; Health
- Collection (and concentration) of biometric data would make possible hacking humans and other living organism and is increasing the risks of digital warfare, targeted-attacks, and dictatorships (as well as re-engineering nature). | Related Megatrends: Technology; Geopower; Governance
- Several EU countries express concerns about China’s acquisitions of hi-tech European companies, mostly of dual-use technologies.
| Related Megatrends: Technology; Expanding influence of East and South
| Knowledge service | Metadata | Foresight |The Megatrends Hub |Changing security paradigm |
| Digital Europa Thesaurus (DET) | common foreign and security policydigital technologyeconomic growthEuropean securityglobalisationInternet of Thingsnew technologyinternational securitycybercrime |
Globalisation, migration, geopolitical shifts, changing nature and balance of power, and increasing access of individuals to technological and social resources, have raised the world’s vulnerabilities to new levels...
While terrorism is not a new phenomenon, future terrorists groups in general and lone wolf terrorists in particular will rise the security threats and challenges at new levels...