Threats and opportunities from automation and robotisation

• An estimated 96% of all workers at threat from technology could find similar or better work with adequate training.
  Closing the Skills Gap 2020 aims to help reskill some 10 million people by 2020. | Related Megatrends Technology; Education; Inequalities
• About 50% of current jobs globally, theoretically could be automated. For about 60% of occupations, at least 30% of the constituent activities could be automated. Hence, 40% of the workers' time could be freed up for continuous learning and to exercise or develop creativity.
• Automation and AI are accelerating the demand for technological skills over the next 10-15 years, while the need for basic cognitive skills, and physical and manual skills will decline. Through 2030, the fastest growing need will be for advanced IT and programming skills -- 90% growth compared to 2016, followed by basic digital skills, with an increase by 69% in the United States and by 65% in Europe.
• For an additional average of 25% jobs, 50-70% of tasks are likely to change significantly because of automation.
  ​| Related Megatrends: Technology; Education; Inequalities;
• Between 37% to 69% of jobs in the EU could be partly automated in the future. | Related Megatrends Technology; Education; Inequalities
• Some 45%-60% of all workers in Europe could see themselves replaced by automation before 2030. | Related Megatrends: Inequalities; Education
• Europe is expected to continue its automation trend (with higher rates in CEE). Of the 22 countries with an above-average robot density, 14 are located in the EU (highest in Germany: 301 units per 10,000 employees) and the automation trend. | Related Megatrends: Inequalities; Education; Technology
• The stock of industrial robots in Europe grew 400% over the past 25 years (from around 95,000 to over 430,000). Germany has over 40% of those currently in use.
• About 14% of jobs in OECD countries are automatable and another 32% of jobs could face substantial change in how they are carried out (previous estimate was of 9% of jobs in 21 OECD countries to be automatable - highest in Austria and Germany,
  at 12%); e.g. some research suggests that "chat robots" and computers could replace almost 250,000 public sector jobs over the next 15 years, in UK alone.
  | Related Megatrends: Technology; Education; Inequalities
• There might be a net loss of over 5 million jobs in 15 major developed and emerging economies by 2020. | Related Megatrends: Inequalities; Education
• In the UK, an estimated 10.4 million jobs -- representing some 30% of total — are expected to be automated by early 2030. | Related Megatrends: Inequalities; Education
• Workers with a lower secondary degree education will be most affected by automation.
  | Related Megatrends: Technology; Education; Inequalities
• While there are less new jobs created directly by technological progress, one additional technology job creates around five new, complementary jobs in the local non-tradable sector.  
  | Related Megatrends Technology; Inequalities;
• There will be 3.5 million cybersecurity jobs unfilled around the world in 2021, due to the lack of skilled people in the field. India alone, will need up to 1 million cybersecurity professionals by 2020.
• Increasing workforce culture that promotes engagement and motivation and provides employees with continuous learning opportunities through innovative platforms.
• Anticipation of the effects of AI & robotisation for social transition needs to ensure that everyone benefits of technological advancements, that economic growth is also reflected in income and living standrads of all citizens. The European Pillar of Social Rights aims to support a positive transition.
• A Basic (or Universal) Income Guarantee (BIG/UIG) would unleash creativity and encourage new work forms that could reduce unemployment, underemployment, and work-related health risks. Some 68% of EU-28 support the principle of a BI. Previous pilot programs showed clear benefits and more pilots are being currently conducted and planned. In New Zealand, a BI is being actively debated and an NGO group is promoting the idea and keeps track of developments around the world.

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