Megatrend

A Megatrend is a long-term driving force that is observable now and will continue to have a global impact in years to come

Increasing demographic imbalances refer to the disparities and shifts in population distribution that are occurring globally and within regions. The world’s population maywill reach 9.7 billion by 2050. It is projected to reach 10.9 billion by 2100, though recent trends suggest growth may plateau earlier due to accelerating fertility decline in more regions all in the context of decreasing fertility and mortality. The population is getting older and more urban. The ageing demographic shift presents challenges such as a shrinking workforce, increased healthcare and pension costs, and the need for age-friendly policies. Globally, demographic changes will be uneven across regions, with rapid growth concentrated mainly in Sub-Saharan Africa and a few other low-income countries. Stalled or even shrinking population numbers are projected for the majority of high-income countries beyond 2030. 

Countries with a growing youth population have advantages to harness, but are challenged to make adequate human capital investment. They face pressure to provide education, to prevent poverty and unemployment, and face potential discontent and social unrest if they fail. Societal inequalities can translate to health risks or disparities on where to live. These factors influence birth and mortality rates and quality of life - which in turn can contribute to changes in demography. 

This Megatrend is part of the Megatrends Hub