From October 2022 to February 2023, which includes the period of major food shortages and low employment, most of the provinces of the Dominican Republic have been classified in Phase 2 (Stressed), with the exception of the provinces of Bahoruco, Elías Piña, La Altagracia, Monte Plata, Pedernales and San Juan, classified in Phase 3 (Crisis). The National District is the only area classified in Phase 1 (Minimal). About 1.55 million people (15% of the population analysed) are in Crisis or Emergency (IPC Phase 3 or above) and therefore urgent action is required. This figure will likely decrease to 1.21 million (11% of the analysed population) in the period March to June 2023.

The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic health crisis that affected the economy of the most vulnerable households still persist, and the crisis resulting from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has affected the global food system, with repercussions on food, fuel and fertiliser prices, which have a direct impact on access to food at the national level.

For the months of March to June 2023, the provinces of Bahoruco, Elías Piña, Monte Plata and Pedernales are expected to remain in Phase 3. The province of La Altagracia for the projected period will likely move from Phase 3 to Phase 2. The rest of the provinces will likely remain in Phase 2 and the National District in Phase 1.