About 14.6 million people (20 percent of the analysed population) experienced high levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse) between February and March 2024, including over 300,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 14.3 million people in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).

High inflation, coupled with repeated climatic shocks as well as reduced income opportunities are putting high pressures on the poorest households and driving acute food insecurity in the analysed population. One fifth of the analysed districts were prone to natural shocks in 2023, while the majority had previously been classified between Moderate-to-Severe levels of chronic food insecurity (IPC Chronic Food Insecurity Level 3 and 4).

The situation is projected to deteriorate between April and October 2024 due to projected extreme weather events such as cyclones and flooding. The number of people in IPC Phase 3 or above is likely to increase to 16.5 million (22 percent of the population analysed), with nearly 800,000 people projected to be in Phase 4, and 15.7 million people in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). The majority of the population in Emergency are Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMN) and populations in Sunamganj and Kurigram. The food insecurity of the Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMNs) is likely to increase in the projection period in case of funding shortfalls leading to decreased levels of humanitarian food assistance due to their high dependence on aid.