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Knowledge4Policy
Knowledge for policy

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  • Publication | 2023

Thailand Economic Monitor June 2023: Coping with Floods and Droughts

  • Economic growth rebounded in the first quarter of 2023 by 4.5% due to domestic demand and tourism but still trailed behind peers due to external challenges.

  • Growth is projected to accelerate from 2.6% in 2022 to 3.9% in 2023 due to stronger-than-expected external demand, especially in China, Europe, and the US, as well as private consumption growth, and tourism recovery.

  • The current account balance is expected to reverse from its deficit of the past two years and return to positive territory in 2023 at 2.5% of GDP due to both goods and services trade.

  • Headline inflation is projected to moderate to 2% in 2023, below most emerging markets amid easing global energy prices, price caps and below-potential growth.

  • Public debt is projected to peak at slightly above 60% in the medium term.

  • Fiscal responses to high energy price have supported the recovery but slowed the path to consolidation, while a long political transition may slow public investment.

  • Labor market conditions have improved due to the recovery of sectors related to tourism, trade and hospitality. The unemployment rate stood at 1.1%, down from 1.5% in the same quarter last year.