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Economic growth rebounded in the first quarter of 2023 by 4.5% due to domestic demand and tourism but still trailed behind peers due to external challenges.
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Growth is projected to accelerate from 2.6% in 2022 to 3.9% in 2023 due to stronger-than-expected external demand, especially in China, Europe, and the US, as well as private consumption growth, and tourism recovery.
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The current account balance is expected to reverse from its deficit of the past two years and return to positive territory in 2023 at 2.5% of GDP due to both goods and services trade.
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Headline inflation is projected to moderate to 2% in 2023, below most emerging markets amid easing global energy prices, price caps and below-potential growth.
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Public debt is projected to peak at slightly above 60% in the medium term.
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Fiscal responses to high energy price have supported the recovery but slowed the path to consolidation, while a long political transition may slow public investment.
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Labor market conditions have improved due to the recovery of sectors related to tourism, trade and hospitality. The unemployment rate stood at 1.1%, down from 1.5% in the same quarter last year.
Year of publication | |
Geographic coverage | Thailand |
Originally published | 04 Jul 2023 |
Related organisation(s) | World Bank |
Knowledge service | Metadata | Global Food and Nutrition Security | Food security and food crisesClimate extremes and food security |
Digital Europa Thesaurus (DET) | economic analysisextreme weatherinflationadaptation to climate changefiscal policydisaster risk reduction |