Despite the November 2024 ceasefire, about 1.17 million Lebanese residents, Syrian refugees and Palestine refugees continue experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) between April and June 2025. Among them, around 55,000 people are classified in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) while 1.1 million people are classified in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). The situation is mainly driven by the prolonged impact of conflict, continued displacement, and the reduction of humanitarian food security assistance.

The current situation represents a reduction in food insecurity compared to the previous IPC analysis of Lebanon when 1.65 million people were classified in IPC phase 3 or above. The reduction of food insecure populations is mainly attributed to the enforcement of the November 2024 ceasefire, followed by a temporary surge in Humanitarian Food Security Assistance (HFSA) targeting the most vulnerable households.

However, the impacts of conflict and the economic crisis continue to threaten recovery efforts, as infrastructure remains damaged, the economy remains stagnant, inflation continues rising, and funding prospects for HFSA in 2025 are negative (In total, 2.84 million people received HFSA in 2024, while in 2025 and until the end of the projection period, 1.83 million people are expected to receive assistance). For these reasons, food insecurity is expected to rise during the projection period, with 1.24 million people (23 percent of the analysed population) likely to experience high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) between July and October 2025.