FAO’s latest forecast for world cereal production in 2021 has been raised by 2.2 million tonnes and is now pegged at 2 796 million tonnes, 0.7 percent higher on a yearly basis. This month’s upward revision stems from higher estimates for world maize and rice production, while the global production estimate for sorghum has been lowered, moderating the expected monthly aggregate upturn. Incorporating these changes, the global coarse grains production forecast now stands at 1 501 million tonnes, 1.2 percent higher year-on-year. The bulk of the increase rests on higher maize production in the European Union (EU) and India, which more than offsets the estimated low coarse grains production in the Sudan. The forecast for world wheat production remains unchanged this month at 775.4 million tonnes, reflecting an increase in Australia’s output, reinforcing the record level, which was counterbalanced by minor downgrades to the estimates for the EU, Iraq and Paraguay. Following a 2.2 million tonne upward revision, world rice production in 2021 is now anticipated to reach 519.3 million tonnes, up 0.7 percent from 2020 and marking a new peak. Compared to February’s expectations, the increase primarily mirrors more buoyant output prospects for India, where official assessments indicate a record main-crop harvest attained this season. This revision, alongside an upward adjustment to Madagascar’s output estimate, overshadows a downgrade for the United Republic of Tanzania.
Year of publication | |
Geographic coverage | UkraineGlobal |
Originally published | 16 Mar 2022 |
Knowledge service | Metadata | Global Food and Nutrition Security | Food security and food crises | Early warning systemFood and nutrition securityFood supply chain |
Digital Europa Thesaurus (DET) | price of agricultural producecerealsagricultural marketagricultural tradeCommoditySupply and demand |