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Madagascar: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for March - May 2026 and Projections for June - September 2026 and October 2026 - February 2027

  • Publication | 2026
Global Food and Nutrition Security

Acute food insecurity remains concerning in Madagascar—concentrated in the southern and eastern regions. Around 2.12 million people (7 percent of the analysed population) are classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse) between June and September 2026, including over 183,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 1.94 million people in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). This is an overall decrease from 2.57 million people who faced Phase 3 or above between March and May 2026, as a result of partial post‑harvest improvements. The situation in the Grand South, however, is much worse than the previous period as the population experiencing Phase 4 rose sharply, from 25,000 people between March and May 2026 to 183,000 people in the June–September 2026 first projection period.

In the second projection period (October 2026–February 2027), conditions are expected to deteriorate dramatically, with around 3.72 million people projected to face Phase 3 or above, including nearly 426,000 people who will likely face Phase 4. This deterioration will be driven by the lean season, depletion of stocks, increased market dependence, high prices, the delayed effects of cyclones, and unfavourable climate risks linked to El Niño, aggravated by insufficient coverage of assistance. 

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Geographic coverageMadagascar
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08 Sep 2026

Related organisation(s)IPC - Integrated Food Security Phase Classification
Knowledge service | MetadataGlobal Food and Nutrition Security | Food crises and food and nutrition security | Access to foodEarly warning systemExtreme weather event
Digital Europa Thesaurus (DET)food aidhungerMonitoringhumanitarian aid
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