Between May and August 2026, approximately 15.3 million people in Bangladesh—15 percent of the analysed population—are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above), including around 483,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). The analysis covered 40 units—36 administrative districts and four special areas. The four special areas comprise Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMN) in Cox’s Bazar and Bhasan Char, together with the host and non-host communities in Cox’s Bazar. Of these, 17 units are in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis), and the remaining 23 units are in IPC Phase 2 (Stressed). The analysed areas are mostly vulnerable to climate shocks, disproportionate poverty, and refugee influx.

Bandarban records the highest level of acute food insecurity, with 35 percent of its population in IPC Phase 3 or above and 5 percent in IPC Phase 4. Approximately 30 percent of the population in Khagrachhari, Rangamati, and Sunamganj, as well as FDMN community in Cox’s Bazar and Bhasan Char, are in IPC Phase 3 or above.

Food security is expected to worsen through the September–December 2026 projection period. The number of people in IPC Phase 3 or above is likely to climb to 18.1 million—18 percent of the analysed population—including 787,000 people in IPC Phase 4. The number of units in IPC Phase 3 is also expected to rise to 21, as Bagerhat, Barishal, Jhalokati, and Noakhali deteriorate from Stressed (Phase 2) to Crisis (Phase 3) conditions.