During the current period (April–July 2026), approximately 473,000 people (32 percent of the analysed population) in Uganda's Karamoja region are facing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above), including 41,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 432,000 in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). All nine districts in Karamoja are classified in IPC Phase 3, with the most severe conditions observed in Kaabong, Kotido, Karenga, Moroto and Nabilatuk, where up to 5 percent of the population is in Emergency and as many as 45 percent of the population face Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 or above) outcomes.

Compared to the same period last year, the situation has moderately deteriorated, with a 2 percentage point increase in the population facing IPC Phase 3 or above, driven by climatic shocks, below-average food and livestock production, pest and disease outbreaks, and high food prices.

The food security situation is projected to seasonally improve between August 2026 and February 2027, with the population in IPC Phase 3 or above expected to decrease to 352,000 people (24 percent of the analysed population), and no populations projected in IPC Phase 4. However, food insecurity will remain structurally persistent, particularly in Kaabong, Kotido, Karenga and Moroto, where between 25 and 35 percent of households are still expected to face Crisis-level outcomes.