The IPC acute malnutrition situation shows for the current period (October 2024 to February 2025) disparate trends in malnutrition levels in all counties compared to February 2024. Some areas have improved, such as Kilifi and Saku (Marsabit), now in IPC AMN Phase 2 (Alert). However, conditions have worsened in Taita Taveta, Garissa, Wajir, Kitui, and Makueni, with Garissa and Wajir declining to IPC AMN Phase 4 (Critical). Several counties, including Turkana, Mandera, Samburu, Baringo (Tiaty), and Marsabit (North Horr and Laisamis), remain in Phase 4, indicating persistent critical levels of acute malnutrition.

Malnutrition remains a major concern, especially in arid and semi-arid regions, requiring urgent and sustained multi-sectoral interventions. Some areas, like Kieni, Mbeere, Meru North, and Tharaka, remain unclassified due to insufficient data.

Acute food insecurity is a key driver of malnutrition, leading to low food consumption across affected regions. The persistent disease burden, including upper respiratory tract infections (URTI), malaria, and high levels of diarrhea, also contributes to recurrent acute malnutrition. Several disease outbreaks, such as measles and Kala-azar, have been reported.

The nutrition situation is expected to deteriorate further by the projected period (March to June 2025), with some areas shifting to higher phases of malnutrition. Counties like Garissa and Wajir are projected to move from Phase 3 to Phase 4, while others will deteriorate within their current phases. Poor rainfall performance is expected to exacerbate food insecurity, reduce milk availability, increase food prices, and heighten disease burdens.