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Knowledge4Policy
Knowledge for policy
Supporting policy with scientific evidence

We mobilise people and resources to create, curate, make sense of and use knowledge to inform policymaking across Europe.

  • Publication | 2026
Climate stressors and rural incomes: Multi-country evidence on wealth, gender, and age disparities

Highlights:

  • We assess the differential effects of climate stressors on rural people based on their wealth, gender, and age using data from 24 countries.
  • Poor and female-headed households lose significantly more of their income due to extreme weather than non-poor and male-headed households.
  • Households headed by youth rely on off-farm income sources to reduce their vulnerability to climate stressors relative to those with older heads.
  • Extreme weather and long run changes in temperature are widening income inequalities in rural areas.
  • Addressing inequalities in climate vulnerability requires explicit policy attention and adequate financing.

Abstract:

Wealth status, gender, and age are widely acknowledged to influence a person’s vulnerability to climate stressors. However, there is a lack of multicounty evidence to quantify the magnitude and nature of these vulnerabilities, particularly in rural areas. Using cross-sectional household survey data from 24 countries combined with georeferenced temperature and precipitation data, we estimate the differential effects of extreme precipitation, extreme heat, and long-run temperature changes on the total, on-farm, and off-farm incomes of poor households, households headed by women and younger people in rural areas, relative to their comparison groups. We show that every day of extreme heat is associated with a reduction of the total income of poor and female-headed households by between 0.8 and 1.5 per cent, respectively, relative to non-poor and male-headed households. Conversely, households headed by younger people increase their total incomes relative to households headed by older people when extreme events occur through relative increases in off-farm income. Moreover, we show that a 1 degree Celsius increase in long-run average temperatures compels poor rural households to rely more heavily on agricultural income sources, compared to non-poor households, while female headed households lose 37 per cent more of their income relative to male-headed households. We conclude that income vulnerabilities to climate stressors in rural areas are diverse and distinct, and that addressing these differences is essential for achieving our collective ambition to reduce global poverty in the context of climate change.